Three principal innovations dominate visions of future personal mobility:

  1. Electric propulsion (EV)
  2. Automated and connected vehicles (ACV), and
  3. New mobility services (NMS) including models of ICT-enabled shared ownership/access.

However very little analysis has examined these transitions together.

This project maps the critical interdependencies between these innovations and energy pathways for combined transitions.

Using established local transport system models and the ‘Activity Level, Modal Share, Energy Intensity, Fuel Carbon Content’ (ASIF) framework adopted by the UN, the potential synergies and conflicts between EV, ACV and NMS are being tested under a range of future scenarios. Decision Theatres are being used in two case study locations to enable stakeholders from transport, planning and technology to develop visualisations of future scenarios and analyse options to mitigate potential impacts on energy demand.