Energy Security & Geopolitics in Uncertain Times

Overview

The security and geopolitical dynamics of energy are being revolutionised by the transition to net zero. New technologies, new supply chains, new cleavages, and a fading fossil fuel system: all bring risks and opportunities alike. At the same time, 2024 will be a year of elections in the US, EU and (probably) the UK, whose outcomes will together shape the global energy and climate politics of the coming years. We bring together experts to discuss these future-defining developments.

13:30 – 14:45 | Panel 1:  What are the geopolitical challenges and opportunities of the mid-transition?

The IEA are now expecting that there will be a peak in global consumption of fossil fuels by 2030 – which brings the decline of fossil fuel consumption onto the immediate horizon. This will bring new challenges including energy price stability, security of fossil fuel demand for developers and investors, and the need for an unprecedented expansion of low-carbon energy infrastructure. The latter will demand exponential growth in the minerals/metals needed for low-carbon energy supply and storage, and electric vehicles. This panel session will seek to extract the most pressing geopolitical challenges of this transformation.

Speakers:

  • Mike Bradshaw, Professor of Global Energy, Warwick Business School, ‘Managing transition risks: towards an interdisciplinary understanding of strategies in the oil industry’
  • Vlado Vivoda, Associate Researcher – Associate Professor, Rabdan Academy, Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates, ‘Power Shifts: The Role of Critical Minerals in New Energy Geopolitics’
  • Thijs van de Graaf, Ghent University, ‘Fate of petrostates in the mid-transition’
  • Juliet Davenport, Energy Institute (TBC)

Chair:  Antony Froggatt, Chatham House

14:45 – 15:15 | Coffee break

15:15 – 16:30 | Panel 2: What are the potential impacts of the 2024 elections in the EU, UK and US on energy and climate politics?

2024 is a year of pivotal elections, including for the European Parliament in June – as well as changes in the European Commission – the US in November, and an election in the UK before the end of January 2025. This session will discuss what role energy and climate policy will play within these elections and their outcomes.

Speakers:

  • Joshua Emden, Senior Research Fellow, IPPR
  • Janka Oertel, Director of the Asia Programme and Senior Policy Fellow, European Centre for Foreign Relations
  • Megan O’Sullivan, Director of Belfer Center for Science and International Affairs, Harvard Kennedy School

Chair: Tom Burke, Co-Founder, E3G

16:30 – 17:00 | Closing

Why attend?

This conference provides a unique opportunity to gain insights from leading experts who will delve into the future-defining developments at the intersection of energy, security, and geopolitics. New research will be presented from our UKERC-funded UK Energy in a Global Context project and participants will have the chance to engage in thought-provoking discussions and gain a comprehensive understanding of the challenges and opportunities that lie ahead. Please see a more detailed overview of the conference in the attached agenda.

RSVP

To confirm your attendance, kindly RSVP to Anum Farhan, afarhan@chathamhouse.org, by Friday 2 February.

11 March 2024
UKERC hosted